World: In 20 years, a quarter of the planet will be Muslim

Source: FSSPX News

According to a study conducted by the Pew Research Center in the United States, entitled “The Future of the Global Muslim Population”, in 2030, the Muslims will constitute 26.4% of the world population, which will then represent 8.3 billion people, that is, a yearly increase of 1.5%, as opposed to 0.7% for the other religious communities. Today, the Muslims represent 23.4% of the 6.9 billion people on the planet. In about twenty years, 79 countries will be home to a million Muslims or more, as opposed to 72 countries today. The number of Muslims will then increase from 1.6 to 2.2 billion.

In 2030, more than six Muslims out of ten will live in the Eastern regions of Asia, bordering on the Pacific, and Pakistan will become the most densely populated Muslim nation, thus outnumbering Indonesia. In Africa, the Muslim population of Nigeria will exceed that of Egypt in about twenty years.

In Europe, the number of Muslims will go from 44.1 to 58.2 million, that is, 6% of the total population. According to the research center’s predictions, the most affected countries are Belgium, whose Muslim population will increase from 6 to 10.2%, and France, which will reach 10.3% as opposed to 7.5% today. In Sweden, the number of Muslims will climb to nearly 10% of the population, alongside 5% today. The Muslims’ growth in Great Britain will bring their number to 8.2% (today 4.6), and to 9.3% in Austria (presently 6%).

Finally, the report indicates that the United States will see its Muslim population increase by 1.7% from less than 1% today. In that country, there will be as many Muslims as Jews or Episcopalians (the American branch of Anglicanism).

Brian J. Grim, the researcher who coordinated all the national data, explained in the February 8th issue of Le Figaro, that “the main variables are the fertility rate and the rhythm of their immigration.” For each country, the inquiry took into account the developments in female fertility, life expectancy, migrations, and average age in their populations. Though it appears that this increase will slow down because of the relative decrease of fertility in traditionally Muslim countries, nearly a third of the young people between 15 and 29 years of age should belong to the Muslim religion in 2030, whereas they represent a quarter of those young people today. (Sources: apic/kna/Le Figaro – DICI, issue number 230, February 19, 2011)

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